Dr. Andrew G. Huff

Insights

Evidence first. Sources cited.

Independent investigation and analysis of the risks that actually reach you: biosecurity and pandemic origins, public health, emerging technology and AI, food security, and the national security decisions made in your name.

Featured

The Hill, 4 September 2026

Never mind vaccines. America cannot even track dangerous diseases.

Pennsylvania recorded its first measles deaths in 35 years. The argument that followed was about vaccines. The failure that should keep Congress up at night is quieter: the United States has no common operating picture for disease. The fix is structural, and the government already runs the model in Key West.

Read in The Hill →Risk Factor, 3 September 2026

The Bioevent Timeline

No Common Operating Picture, Part III. The emergence of H5N1 in United States dairy cattle, reconstructed as an information pathway: what was observable, what was observed, who held it, when it moved, and where it stalled.

Read on Substack →

Risk Factor

The newsletter. Full investigations, the archive, and subscriber discussions. More than 25,000 subscribers. No advertisers, no institutional editing. Analytic reports prepared by Risk Factor Research are published there when released.

Subscribe on Substack

Selected publications

Peer-reviewed

  1. Garcia JD, Huff AG, Huff ES. Understanding farmers’ biosecurity beliefs and behaviours related to antimicrobial resistant bacteria in Michigan, USA. Animal Production Science, 2020. doi:10.1071/AN18765
  2. Roberts JN, Grooms DL, Thompson ER, Huff AG. Evaluation of bull breeding soundness examination. Clinical Theriogenology 10(4):397-408, 2018. doi:10.58292/ct.v10.9897
  3. Huff AG, Allen T, Whiting K, Williams F, Hunter L, Gold Z, Madoff LC, Karesh WB. Biosurveillance: a systematic review of global infectious disease surveillance systems from 1900 to 2016. Revue Scientifique et Technique (OIE) 36(2):513-524, 2017. doi:10.20506/rst.36.2.2670
  4. Huff AG, Breit N, Allen T, Whiting K, Kiley C. Evaluation and verification of the Global Rapid Identification of Threats System for infectious diseases in textual data sources. Interdisciplinary Perspectives on Infectious Diseases 2016:5080746, 2016. doi:10.1155/2016/5080746
  5. Huff A, Allen T, Whiting K, Breit N, Arnold B. FLIRT-ing with Zika: a web application to predict the movement of infected travelers validated against the current Zika virus epidemic. PLoS Currents Outbreaks, 2016. doi:10.1371/currents.outbreaks.711379ace737b7c04c89765342a9a8c9
  6. Breit NA, Allen T, Arnold B, Huff A, Madoff L, Pollack M. Evaluation of ProMED-mail global surveillance capability (conference abstract). International Journal of Infectious Diseases 53:140, 2016. doi:10.1016/j.ijid.2016.11.344
  7. Huff AG, Beyeler WE, Kelley NS, McNitt JA. How resilient is the United States’ food system to pandemics? Journal of Environmental Studies and Sciences 5(3):337-347, 2015. doi:10.1007/s13412-015-0275-3
  8. Huff AG, Hodges JS, Kennedy SP, Kircher A. Evaluation of the Food and Agriculture Sector Criticality Assessment Tool (FASCAT) and the collected data. Risk Analysis 35(8):1448-1467, 2015. doi:10.1111/risa.12377
  9. Huff AG, Kircher A, Hodges JS, Kennedy S. State officials’ perceptions of the Food and Agriculture Sector Criticality Assessment Tool (FASCAT), food-system risk, and food defense funding. Journal of Homeland Security and Emergency Management 11(1):101-116, 2014. doi:10.1515/jhsem-2013-0063
  10. Huff AG, Kircher A, Hoffman J, Kennedy SP. The development and use of the Food and Agriculture Systems Criticality Assessment Tool (FASCAT). Food Protection Trends 33(4):218-223, 2013. PDF

Chapters, patent application, and dissertation

  1. Huff AG. Food defense. In: Encyclopedia of Food Chemistry. Elsevier / Academic Press, 2019.
  2. Huff AG. Assessing vulnerabilities. In: Food Defense Planning and Prevention of Intentional Adulteration. Grocery Manufacturers Association, 2013.
  3. Huff AG, Kennedy SP, Kircher AL, Hoffman JT. Criticality spatial analysis. United States patent application 14/212,749, 2014.
  4. Huff AG. Enhancing food defense: risk managers’ perceptions, criticality assessments, and a novel method for objectively determining food systems’ criticality. PhD dissertation, University of Minnesota, 2014.

Preprints and papers under review

  1. Huff AG. Regulatory reach: the share of United States youth e-cigarette use covered by product authorization, measured from the 2024 and 2025 National Youth Tobacco Surveys, with comparison to England and Canada. Preprint, SSRN, 2026. doi:10.2139/ssrn.7362118 Preprint, not peer reviewed.
  2. Huff AG. Case fatality among New York City foster children in paediatric HIV/AIDS clinical trials, 1985 to 2005: a Bayesian random-effects reanalysis finding no detectable excess mortality. Preprint, SSRN, Preprints with The Lancet, 2026. doi:10.2139/ssrn.7241840 Preprint, not peer reviewed.
  3. Huff AG. Proof before fielding: the Army is adopting military AI faster than it can test it. Medicine already built the fix. Preprint, SSRN, 2026. doi:10.2139/ssrn.7250839 Preprint, not peer reviewed.
  4. Huff AG. Neuromorphic edge sensing for persistent chemical and biological threat early warning. Preprint, SSRN. Submitted to Health Security, 2026. doi:10.2139/ssrn.7251119 Preprint, not peer reviewed.
  5. Huff AG. A temporally adaptive conditional estimator (TACE) for cluster-weighted conditional probability with a permutation-based cascade-detection test. Preprint, SSRN. Under review, Risk Analysis, 2026. doi:10.2139/ssrn.6810359 Preprint, not peer reviewed.
Google Scholar profileORCID 0009-0006-5865-6477

Media and speaking inquiries

contact@andrewhuff.com. Replies within one business day.

Contact